Welcome to the text edition of Break It Down. This week I’ll be breaking down The U’s matchup against the North Carolina Tar Heels. So let’s get right into things.
Why The U Wins
The offense, led by Lamar Miller, seems to have hit its stride. Miller has gashed teams and has allowed the QB to pick his spots while playing efficiently and mistake free. With weapons on the outside like Allen Hurns to compliment Miller, the offense has been balanced leading to greater big play potential. Even against a strong Carolina defense I think the ‘Canes should be able to put up at least 24 points.
Why The U Needs to be Careful
I’m going with the obvious…the defense. Weak scheme, injuries hurting depth or just a lack of talent, no matter the reason, the Hurricanes defense has made 4 of the 5 starting QBs its faced to look like they were all-conference players. I expect that to continue this week. Brynn Renner is a solid QB coached by a smart OC in John Shoop. I think they take advantage of the soft coverage they see this week and take the short completions available and try to chew up clock while on their way to the endzone. It might be another week of hoping the redzone defense can force field goals instead of giving up touchdowns. One positive, at least the defense won’t have to defend the read option.
I’m going with ‘Canes Left Offensive Tackle Brandon Washington vs. UNC’s Right Defensive End Quintin Coples. Washington has been solid at tackle but not the same player he was at guard. He’ll need to take his game up a notch this week if he’s going to meet the challenge of blocking Coples 1 on 1. Coples is projected as a top 5 player for next year’s NFL draft. He’s big, strong and very athletic – basically the total package in the Mario Williams mold. If Washington can protect Jacory’s blind side with minimal help that will go a long way in securing a victory for the ‘Canes.
Player of the Game
I’m going with Sean Spence. I think the defense as a whole struggles again this week, but have a feeling it gets a TD put on the board courtesy of Spence. Add to that, I predict he picks up about 10 tackles while taking it as his personal duty to make sure Giovanni Bernard doesn’t give UNC the balanced attack it usually has.
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